Used and New Car Sales, Review - Autotrader

Stocks - Investing and trading for all

Almost any post related to stocks is welcome on /stocks. Don't hesitate to tell us about a ticker we should know about, but read the sidebar rules before you post. Check out our wiki and Discord!
[link]

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning August 17th, 2020

Good Saturday morning to all of you here on smallstreetbets. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning August 17th, 2020.

Stocks are ignoring the lack of a stimulus package from Congress, but that could change - (Source)

Stocks could hang at record levels but gains may be capped until Congress agrees to a new stimulus package to help the economy and the millions of unemployed Americans.
Stocks were higher in the past week, and the S&P 500 flirted with record levels it set in February.
In the coming week, there are some major retailers reporting earnings, including Walmart, Home Depot and Target, but the season is mostly over and the market is entering a quiet period. There are minutes from the Fed’s last meeting, released Wednesday, and housing data, including starts Tuesday and existing sales Friday.
Investors had been watching efforts by Congress to agree to a new stimulus package, but talks have failed and the Senate has gone on recess. There is a concern that Congress will not be convinced to provide a big enough package when it does get to work again on the next stimulus round because recent economic reports look stronger. July’s retail sales, for example, climbed to a record level and recovered to pre-pandemic levels.
“The juxtaposition of getting more fiscal stimulus and better data has paralyzed us in our tracks … we’ve seen this sideways [market] action,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Alliance. “It feels like we need more action from Congress, and the concern is the longer we wait, the better the data gets and the less impactful the next round of stimulus will be.”
Some technical analysts say the market may pull back around the high, to allow it to consolidate gains before moving higher into the end of the year. The S&P 500 reached an all-time high of 3,393 on Feb. 19.
Hogan said he expects stocks to tread sideways during the dog days of August, but they could begin to react negatively to the election in September. He also said it is important that progress continue against the spread of Covid-19, as the economy continues to reopen.
Peter Boockvar, chief investment strategist at Bleakley Advisory Group, said the market could have a wakeup call at some point that the stimulus package has not been approved.
“I think it will cross over a line where they care,” he said. “I think the market is in suspended animation of believing there will be a magical deal.” Boockvar said he expects a deal ultimately, but the impact is not likely to be as big as the last round of funding.
“What they’re not grasping is any deal, any extension of unemployment benefits, is going to be smaller than it was, and the rate of change should be the most important thing investors focus on,” he said. “Not the binary outcome of whether there’s a deal or no deal. There’s going to be less air going into the balloon.”

It’s the economy

Still, economists expect to see a strong rebound in the third quarter, and are anticipating about about a 20% jump in third-quarter growth. But they also say that could be threatened if Congress does not help with another stimulus package.
Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, described the July retail sales as a perfect V-shaped recovery, but cautioned it would not last unless more aid gets to individuals and cities and states. Democrats have sought a $3 trillion spending package, and Republicans in the Senate offered a $1 trillion package. They could not reach a compromise, including on a $600 weekly payment to individuals on unemployment which expired July 31.
President Donald Trump has tried to fill the gap with executive orders to provide extra benefits to those on unemployment, but the $300 federal payment and $100 from states may take some time to reach individuals, as the processing varies by state. He has also issued an order instructing the Treasury to temporarily defer collection of payroll taxes from individuals making up to $104,000.
“I think in August and September, there will be a lot of Ws, if there’s not more help here,” said Zandi, referring to an economic recovery that retrenches from a V shape before heading higher again. “It’s clearly perplexing. It may take the stock market to say we’re not going to get what we expect, and sell off and light a fire.”
Zandi said it could come to a situation like 2008, where the stock market sold off sharply before Congress would agree to a program that helped financial companies.
“We need a TARP moment to get these guys to help. Maybe if the claims tick higher and the August employment numbers are soft, given the president is focused on the stock market, that might be what it takes to get them back to the table in earnest,” he said, referring to the Troubled Asset Relief Program that helped rescue banks during the financial crisis.
He ultimately expects a package of about $1.5 trillion to be approved in September.
The lack of funding for state and local governments could result in more layoffs, as they struggle with their current 2021 budgets, Zandi said. Already 1.3 million public sector jobs have been lost since February, and there will be more layoffs and more programs and projects cancelled. The impact will hit contractors and other businesses that provide services to local governments.
“The multipliers on state and local government are among the highest of any form of support, so if you don’t provide it, it’s going to ripple through the economy pretty fast,” he said.
Economists expect to see a softening in consumer spending in August with the more than 28 million Americans on unemployment benefits as of mid-July no longer receiving any supplemental pay.
“The real irony is things are shaping up that September is going to be a bad month, and that’s going to show up in all the data in October,” Zandi said. “They are really taking a chance on this election by not acting.”

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)

4 Charts That Will Amaze You

The S&P 500 Index is a few points away from a new all-time high, completing one of the fastest recoveries from a bear market ever. But this will also seal the deal on the shortest bear market ever. Remember, the S&P 500 Index lost 20% from an all-time high in only 16 trading days back in February and March, so it makes sense that this recovery could be one of the fastest ever.
From the lows on March 23, the S&P 500 has now added more than 50%. Many have been calling this a bear market rally for months, while we have been in the camp this is something more. It’s easy to see why this rally is different based on where it stands versus other bear market rallies:
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
They say the stock market is the only place where things go on sale, yet everyone runs out of the store screaming. We absolutely saw that back in March and now with stocks near new highs, many have missed this record run. Here we show how stocks have been usually higher a year or two after corrections.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
After a historic drop in March, the S&P 500 has closed higher in April, May, June, and July. This rare event has happened only 11 other times, with stocks gaining the final five months of the year a very impressive 10 times. Only 2018 and the nearly 20% collapse in December saw a loss those final five months.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, this bear market will go down as the fastest ever, at just over one month. The recovery back to new highs will be five months if we get there by August 23, making this one of the fastest recoveries ever. Not surprisingly, it usually takes longer for bear markets in a recession to recover; only adding to the impressiveness of this rally.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
“It normally takes 30 months for bear markets during a recession to recover their losses, which makes this recovery all the more amazing,” said LPL Financial Chief Market Strateigst Ryan Detrick.. “Then again, there has been nothing normal about this recession, so maybe we shouldn’t be shocked about yet another record going down in 2020.”

When a Few Basis Points Packs a Punch

US Treasury yields have been on the rise this week with the 10-year yield rising 13 basis points (bps) from 0.56% up to 0.69% after getting as high as 0.72% on Thursday. A 13 bps move higher in interest rates may not seem like a whole lot, but with rates already at such low levels, a small move can have a pretty big impact on the prices of longer-term maturities.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Starting with longer-term US Treasuries, TLT, which measures the performance of maturities greater than 20 years, has declined 3.5% this week. Now, for a growth stock, 3.5% is par for the course, but that kind of move in the Treasury market is no small thing. The latest pullback for TLT also coincides with another failed attempt by the ETF to trade and stay above $170 for more than a day.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
The further out the maturity window you go in the fixed income market, the bigger the impact of the move higher in interest rates. The Republic of Austria issued a 100-year bond in 2017, and its movements exemplify the wild moves that small changes in interest rates (from a low base) can have on prices. Just this week, the Austrian 100-year was down over 5%, which is a painful move no matter what type of asset class you are talking about. This week's move, though, was nothing compared to the stomach-churning swings from earlier this year. When Covid was first hitting the fan, the 100-year rallied 57% in the span of less than two months. That kind of move usually occurs over years rather than days, but in less than a third of that time, all those gains disintegrated in a two-and-a-half week span from early to late March. Easy come, easy go. Ironically enough, despite all the big up and down moves in this bond over the last year, as we type this, the bond's price is the same now as it was on this same day last year.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Retail Sales Rock to New Highs

At the headline level, July’s Retail Sales report disappointed as the reading missed expectations by nearly a full percentage point. Just as soon as the report was released, we saw a number of stories pounce on the disappointment as a sign that the economy was losing steam. Looked at in more detail, though, the July report wasn’t all that bad. While the headline reading rose less than expected (1.2% vs 2.1%), Ex Autos and Ex Autos and Gas, the results were much better than expected. Not only that, but June’s original readings were all revised higher by around a full percentage point.
Besides the fact that this month’s report was better underneath the surface and June’s reading was revised higher, it was also notable as the seasonally-adjusted annualized rate of sales in July hit a new record high. After the last record high back in January, only five months passed until American consumers were back to their pre-Covid spending ways. For the sake of comparison, back during the Financial Crisis, 40 months passed between the original high in Retail Sales in November 2007 and the next record high in April 2011. 5 months versus 40? Never underestimate the power of the US consumer!
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
While the monthly pace of retail sales is back at all-time highs, the characteristics behind the total level of sales have changed markedly in the post COVID world. In our just released B.I.G. Tips report we looked at these changing dynamics to highlight the groups that have been the biggest winners and losers from the shifts.

100 Days of Gains

Today marked 100 trading days since the Nasdaq 100's March 20th COVID Crash closing low. Below is a chart showing the rolling 100-trading day percentage change of the Nasdaq 100 since 1985. The 59.8% gain over the last 100 trading days ranks as the 3rd strongest run on record. The only two stronger 100-day rallies ended in January 1999 and March 2000.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
While the Nasdaq 100 bottomed on Friday, March 20th, the S&P 500 bottomed the following Monday (3/23). This means tomorrow will mark 100 trading days since the S&P 500's COVID Crash closing low. Right now the rolling 100-day percentage change for the S&P 500 sits at +46.7%. But if the S&P manages to trade at current levels tomorrow, the 100-day gain will jump above 50%. It has been 87 years (1933) since we've seen a 100-day gain of more than 50%!
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

B.I.G. Tips - New Highs In Sight

Whether you want to look at it from the perspective of closing prices or intraday levels, the S&P 500 is doing what just about everybody thought would be impossible less than five months ago - approaching record highs. Relative to its closing high of 3,386.15, the S&P 500 is just 0.27% lower, while it's within half of a percent from its record intraday high of 3,393.52. Through today, the S&P 500 has gone 120 trading days without a record high, and as shown in the chart below, the current streak is barely even visible when viewed in the perspective of all streaks since 1928. Even if we zoom in on just the last five years, the current streak of 120 trading days only ranks as the fourth-longest streak without a new high.
While the S&P 500's 120-trading day streak without a new high isn't extreme by historical standards, the turnaround off the lows has been extraordinary. In the S&P 500's history, there have been ten prior declines of at least 20% from a record closing high. Of those ten prior periods, the shortest gap between the original record high and the next one was 309 trading days, and the shortest gap between highs that had a pullback of at least 30% was 484 tradings days (or more than four times the current gap of 120 trading days). For all ten streaks without a record high, the median drought was 680 trading days.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Whenever the S&P 500 does take out its 2/19 high, the question is whether the new high represents a breakout where the S&P 500 keeps rallying into evergreen territory, or does it run out of gas after finally reaching a new milestone? To shed some light on this question, we looked at the S&P 500's performance following each prior streak of similar duration without a new high.

Rocket Reversals

Over the last few days, we've been seeing a moderate rotation in the market as red-hot growth stocks sell-off and investors shift into other areas of the market that have been lagging. To highlight this, the table below highlights 24 companies in the Russell 3,000 with market caps of more than $1 billion that traded at a 52-week high within the last month but are currently down more than 20% from that high. The vast majority of these stocks are names that investors haven't been able to get enough of in 2020 but now appear to have had their fill.
Topping the list of these reversals is Eastman Kodak (KODK). On 7/29, the stock surged to a 52-week high of $60.00 after being awarded a questionable government contract to domestically produce components for prescription drugs. With the SEC and government agency that originally awarded the contract now looking into stock option awards at the company just before it was announced, the stock has pulled back sharply and is now down over 80% from its high less than two weeks ago.
While KODK is more of a unique example, other names on the list are primarily growth or health care stocks that have benefited from the COVID outbreak. However, now that signs suggest the summer wave in the south has crested, investors appear to be taking some profits. Shares of Vaxart (VXRT) hit a high of $17.49 on July 14th but have since lost nearly half of their value and trade back in the single-digits. Additionally, Bloom Energy (BE), 1Life Healthcare (ONEM), and Bioxcel Therapeutics (BTAI) have all lost more than a third of their value.
In terms of market cap, most of the names listed are on the small side, but Tesla (TSLA) is a notable exception as it is now just over 20% below its 52-week high on 7/13. Other relatively large companies on the list include Moderna (MRNA), Citrix Systems (CTXS), Teladoc (TDOC), and Livongo (LVGO). TDOC and LVGO both hit all-time highs last week but after announcing a mostly stock merger last Wednesday, both have lost nearly a quarter of their value.
While all of the stocks listed below have seen sharp pullbacks in the last several days, a little perspective is in order. Of the 24 names listed, the average YTD change even after the declines has been a gain of 219.7% (median: +94.6%). Only two of the stocks shown (New Relic- NEWR and Sonos- SONO) are down YTD, and half of them have at least doubled and in many cases much more.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending August 14th, 2020

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())
(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED!)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 8.16.20

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())
(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED!)
Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-
  • $WMT
  • $NVDA
  • $BABA
  • $JD
  • $HD
  • $LOW
  • $TGT
  • $SE
  • $NIU
  • $BJ
  • $AAP
  • $DLPN
  • $TJX
  • $ADI
  • $DE
  • $FL
  • $KSS
  • $DQ
  • $PDD
  • $GDS
  • $ECC
  • $BEST
  • $CTK
  • $EL
  • $VIPS
  • $SNPS
  • $A
  • $ROST
  • $QIWI
  • $LB
  • $LX
  • $AMCR
  • $CMCM
  • $LZB
  • $OPRA
  • $KEYS
  • $CREE
  • $GAN
  • $BZUN
  • $JKHY
  • $FN
  • $MLCO
  • $KC
  • $FUV
  • $SQM
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 8.17.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Monday 8.17.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 8.18.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 8.18.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 8.19.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 8.19.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 8.20.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 8.20.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 8.21.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 8.21.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE)

Walmart Inc. $132.60

Walmart Inc. (WMT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, August 18, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.20 per share on revenue of $134.28 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.29 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 81% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 5.51% with revenue increasing by 2.99%. Short interest has decreased by 12.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 0.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 9.9% above its 200 day moving average of $120.64. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, August 11, 2020 there was some notable buying of 12,381 contracts of the $135.00 put expiring on Friday, August 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.3% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

NVIDIA Corp. $462.56

NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:20 PM ET on Wednesday, August 19, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.95 per share on revenue of $3.65 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.01 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 84% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $1.83 to $2.06 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 65.25% with revenue increasing by 41.53%. The stock has drifted higher by 31.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 57.7% above its 200 day moving average of $293.24. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 14, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,787 contracts of the $460.00 call expiring on Friday, August 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 7.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. $253.97

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:10 AM ET on Thursday, August 20, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.99 per share on revenue of $21.13 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.11 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 83% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 8.74% with revenue increasing by 26.22%. Short interest has increased by 30.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 25.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 20.0% above its 200 day moving average of $211.59. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 7, 2020 there was some notable buying of 12,935 contracts of the $300.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.1% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

JD.com, Inc. $62.06

JD.com, Inc. (JD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 5:50 AM ET on Monday, August 17, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.38 per share on revenue of $26.98 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.46 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 52.00% with revenue increasing by 23.25%. Short interest has increased by 16.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 24.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 36.9% above its 200 day moving average of $45.34. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 14, 2020 there was some notable buying of 12,799 contracts of the $62.00 call expiring on Friday, August 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 8.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.4% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Home Depot, Inc. $280.55

Home Depot, Inc. (HD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:00 AM ET on Tuesday, August 18, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $3.71 per share on revenue of $31.67 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $3.75 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 17.03% with revenue increasing by 2.69%. Short interest has decreased by 39.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 16.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 22.4% above its 200 day moving average of $229.20. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 14, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,323 contracts of the $300.00 call expiring on Friday, August 28, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Lowe's Companies, Inc. $154.34

Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:00 AM ET on Wednesday, August 19, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.93 per share on revenue of $21.29 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.97 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 36.28% with revenue increasing by 1.42%. Short interest has decreased by 19.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 25.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 31.2% above its 200 day moving average of $117.67. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 7, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,994 contracts of the $170.00 call expiring on Friday, August 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.8% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Target Corp. $136.53

Target Corp. (TGT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Wednesday, August 19, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.56 per share on revenue of $19.30 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.64 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 75% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 14.29% with revenue increasing by 4.77%. Short interest has decreased by 36.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 10.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 18.0% above its 200 day moving average of $115.73. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, August 10, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,479 contracts of the $135.00 call expiring on Friday, September 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.7% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Sea Limited $126.50

Sea Limited (SE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Tuesday, August 18, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.47 per share on revenue of $1.03 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.36) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 34.29% with revenue increasing by 136.16%. Short interest has decreased by 8.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 91.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 98.1% above its 200 day moving average of $63.87. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, August 4, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,000 contracts of the $110.00 put expiring on Friday, January 15, 2021. Option traders are pricing in a 12.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 16.7% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Niu Technologies $20.82

Niu Technologies (NIU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 3:00 AM ET on Monday, August 17, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.07 per share on revenue of $88.07 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.11 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 57% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 30.00% with revenue increasing by 13.97%. Short interest has increased by 18.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 129.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 90.3% above its 200 day moving average of $10.94. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 3.7% move on earnings in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. $41.48

BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. (BJ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:45 AM ET on Thursday, August 20, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.57 per share on revenue of $3.64 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.60 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 73% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 46.15% with revenue increasing by 8.79%. Short interest has decreased by 3.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 33.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 46.7% above its 200 day moving average of $28.27. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, August 12, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,119 contracts of the $50.00 call expiring on Friday, September 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 12.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 10.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead smallstreetbets.
submitted by bigbear0083 to smallstreetbets [link] [comments]

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning August 17th, 2020

Good Friday evening to all of you here on StockMarket. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning August 17th, 2020.

Stocks are ignoring the lack of a stimulus package from Congress, but that could change - (Source)

Stocks could hang at record levels but gains may be capped until Congress agrees to a new stimulus package to help the economy and the millions of unemployed Americans.
Stocks were higher in the past week, and the S&P 500 flirted with record levels it set in February.
In the coming week, there are some major retailers reporting earnings, including Walmart, Home Depot and Target, but the season is mostly over and the market is entering a quiet period. There are minutes from the Fed’s last meeting, released Wednesday, and housing data, including starts Tuesday and existing sales Friday.
Investors had been watching efforts by Congress to agree to a new stimulus package, but talks have failed and the Senate has gone on recess. There is a concern that Congress will not be convinced to provide a big enough package when it does get to work again on the next stimulus round because recent economic reports look stronger. July’s retail sales, for example, climbed to a record level and recovered to pre-pandemic levels.
“The juxtaposition of getting more fiscal stimulus and better data has paralyzed us in our tracks … we’ve seen this sideways [market] action,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Alliance. “It feels like we need more action from Congress, and the concern is the longer we wait, the better the data gets and the less impactful the next round of stimulus will be.”
Some technical analysts say the market may pull back around the high, to allow it to consolidate gains before moving higher into the end of the year. The S&P 500 reached an all-time high of 3,393 on Feb. 19.
Hogan said he expects stocks to tread sideways during the dog days of August, but they could begin to react negatively to the election in September. He also said it is important that progress continue against the spread of Covid-19, as the economy continues to reopen.
Peter Boockvar, chief investment strategist at Bleakley Advisory Group, said the market could have a wakeup call at some point that the stimulus package has not been approved.
“I think it will cross over a line where they care,” he said. “I think the market is in suspended animation of believing there will be a magical deal.” Boockvar said he expects a deal ultimately, but the impact is not likely to be as big as the last round of funding.
“What they’re not grasping is any deal, any extension of unemployment benefits, is going to be smaller than it was, and the rate of change should be the most important thing investors focus on,” he said. “Not the binary outcome of whether there’s a deal or no deal. There’s going to be less air going into the balloon.”

It’s the economy

Still, economists expect to see a strong rebound in the third quarter, and are anticipating about about a 20% jump in third-quarter growth. But they also say that could be threatened if Congress does not help with another stimulus package.
Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, described the July retail sales as a perfect V-shaped recovery, but cautioned it would not last unless more aid gets to individuals and cities and states. Democrats have sought a $3 trillion spending package, and Republicans in the Senate offered a $1 trillion package. They could not reach a compromise, including on a $600 weekly payment to individuals on unemployment which expired July 31.
President Donald Trump has tried to fill the gap with executive orders to provide extra benefits to those on unemployment, but the $300 federal payment and $100 from states may take some time to reach individuals, as the processing varies by state. He has also issued an order instructing the Treasury to temporarily defer collection of payroll taxes from individuals making up to $104,000.
“I think in August and September, there will be a lot of Ws, if there’s not more help here,” said Zandi, referring to an economic recovery that retrenches from a V shape before heading higher again. “It’s clearly perplexing. It may take the stock market to say we’re not going to get what we expect, and sell off and light a fire.”
Zandi said it could come to a situation like 2008, where the stock market sold off sharply before Congress would agree to a program that helped financial companies.
“We need a TARP moment to get these guys to help. Maybe if the claims tick higher and the August employment numbers are soft, given the president is focused on the stock market, that might be what it takes to get them back to the table in earnest,” he said, referring to the Troubled Asset Relief Program that helped rescue banks during the financial crisis.
He ultimately expects a package of about $1.5 trillion to be approved in September.
The lack of funding for state and local governments could result in more layoffs, as they struggle with their current 2021 budgets, Zandi said. Already 1.3 million public sector jobs have been lost since February, and there will be more layoffs and more programs and projects cancelled. The impact will hit contractors and other businesses that provide services to local governments.
“The multipliers on state and local government are among the highest of any form of support, so if you don’t provide it, it’s going to ripple through the economy pretty fast,” he said.
Economists expect to see a softening in consumer spending in August with the more than 28 million Americans on unemployment benefits as of mid-July no longer receiving any supplemental pay.
“The real irony is things are shaping up that September is going to be a bad month, and that’s going to show up in all the data in October,” Zandi said. “They are really taking a chance on this election by not acting.”

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)

4 Charts That Will Amaze You

The S&P 500 Index is a few points away from a new all-time high, completing one of the fastest recoveries from a bear market ever. But this will also seal the deal on the shortest bear market ever. Remember, the S&P 500 Index lost 20% from an all-time high in only 16 trading days back in February and March, so it makes sense that this recovery could be one of the fastest ever.
From the lows on March 23, the S&P 500 has now added more than 50%. Many have been calling this a bear market rally for months, while we have been in the camp this is something more. It’s easy to see why this rally is different based on where it stands versus other bear market rallies:
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
They say the stock market is the only place where things go on sale, yet everyone runs out of the store screaming. We absolutely saw that back in March and now with stocks near new highs, many have missed this record run. Here we show how stocks have been usually higher a year or two after corrections.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
After a historic drop in March, the S&P 500 has closed higher in April, May, June, and July. This rare event has happened only 11 other times, with stocks gaining the final five months of the year a very impressive 10 times. Only 2018 and the nearly 20% collapse in December saw a loss those final five months.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, this bear market will go down as the fastest ever, at just over one month. The recovery back to new highs will be five months if we get there by August 23, making this one of the fastest recoveries ever. Not surprisingly, it usually takes longer for bear markets in a recession to recover; only adding to the impressiveness of this rally.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
“It normally takes 30 months for bear markets during a recession to recover their losses, which makes this recovery all the more amazing,” said LPL Financial Chief Market Strateigst Ryan Detrick.. “Then again, there has been nothing normal about this recession, so maybe we shouldn’t be shocked about yet another record going down in 2020.”

When a Few Basis Points Packs a Punch

US Treasury yields have been on the rise this week with the 10-year yield rising 13 basis points (bps) from 0.56% up to 0.69% after getting as high as 0.72% on Thursday. A 13 bps move higher in interest rates may not seem like a whole lot, but with rates already at such low levels, a small move can have a pretty big impact on the prices of longer-term maturities.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Starting with longer-term US Treasuries, TLT, which measures the performance of maturities greater than 20 years, has declined 3.5% this week. Now, for a growth stock, 3.5% is par for the course, but that kind of move in the Treasury market is no small thing. The latest pullback for TLT also coincides with another failed attempt by the ETF to trade and stay above $170 for more than a day.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
The further out the maturity window you go in the fixed income market, the bigger the impact of the move higher in interest rates. The Republic of Austria issued a 100-year bond in 2017, and its movements exemplify the wild moves that small changes in interest rates (from a low base) can have on prices. Just this week, the Austrian 100-year was down over 5%, which is a painful move no matter what type of asset class you are talking about. This week's move, though, was nothing compared to the stomach-churning swings from earlier this year. When Covid was first hitting the fan, the 100-year rallied 57% in the span of less than two months. That kind of move usually occurs over years rather than days, but in less than a third of that time, all those gains disintegrated in a two-and-a-half week span from early to late March. Easy come, easy go. Ironically enough, despite all the big up and down moves in this bond over the last year, as we type this, the bond's price is the same now as it was on this same day last year.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Retail Sales Rock to New Highs

At the headline level, July’s Retail Sales report disappointed as the reading missed expectations by nearly a full percentage point. Just as soon as the report was released, we saw a number of stories pounce on the disappointment as a sign that the economy was losing steam. Looked at in more detail, though, the July report wasn’t all that bad. While the headline reading rose less than expected (1.2% vs 2.1%), Ex Autos and Ex Autos and Gas, the results were much better than expected. Not only that, but June’s original readings were all revised higher by around a full percentage point.
Besides the fact that this month’s report was better underneath the surface and June’s reading was revised higher, it was also notable as the seasonally-adjusted annualized rate of sales in July hit a new record high. After the last record high back in January, only five months passed until American consumers were back to their pre-Covid spending ways. For the sake of comparison, back during the Financial Crisis, 40 months passed between the original high in Retail Sales in November 2007 and the next record high in April 2011. 5 months versus 40? Never underestimate the power of the US consumer!
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
While the monthly pace of retail sales is back at all-time highs, the characteristics behind the total level of sales have changed markedly in the post COVID world. In our just released B.I.G. Tips report we looked at these changing dynamics to highlight the groups that have been the biggest winners and losers from the shifts.

100 Days of Gains

Today marked 100 trading days since the Nasdaq 100's March 20th COVID Crash closing low. Below is a chart showing the rolling 100-trading day percentage change of the Nasdaq 100 since 1985. The 59.8% gain over the last 100 trading days ranks as the 3rd strongest run on record. The only two stronger 100-day rallies ended in January 1999 and March 2000.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
While the Nasdaq 100 bottomed on Friday, March 20th, the S&P 500 bottomed the following Monday (3/23). This means tomorrow will mark 100 trading days since the S&P 500's COVID Crash closing low. Right now the rolling 100-day percentage change for the S&P 500 sits at +46.7%. But if the S&P manages to trade at current levels tomorrow, the 100-day gain will jump above 50%. It has been 87 years (1933) since we've seen a 100-day gain of more than 50%!
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

B.I.G. Tips - New Highs In Sight

Whether you want to look at it from the perspective of closing prices or intraday levels, the S&P 500 is doing what just about everybody thought would be impossible less than five months ago - approaching record highs. Relative to its closing high of 3,386.15, the S&P 500 is just 0.27% lower, while it's within half of a percent from its record intraday high of 3,393.52. Through today, the S&P 500 has gone 120 trading days without a record high, and as shown in the chart below, the current streak is barely even visible when viewed in the perspective of all streaks since 1928. Even if we zoom in on just the last five years, the current streak of 120 trading days only ranks as the fourth-longest streak without a new high.
While the S&P 500's 120-trading day streak without a new high isn't extreme by historical standards, the turnaround off the lows has been extraordinary. In the S&P 500's history, there have been ten prior declines of at least 20% from a record closing high. Of those ten prior periods, the shortest gap between the original record high and the next one was 309 trading days, and the shortest gap between highs that had a pullback of at least 30% was 484 tradings days (or more than four times the current gap of 120 trading days). For all ten streaks without a record high, the median drought was 680 trading days.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Whenever the S&P 500 does take out its 2/19 high, the question is whether the new high represents a breakout where the S&P 500 keeps rallying into evergreen territory, or does it run out of gas after finally reaching a new milestone? To shed some light on this question, we looked at the S&P 500's performance following each prior streak of similar duration without a new high.

Rocket Reversals

Over the last few days, we've been seeing a moderate rotation in the market as red-hot growth stocks sell-off and investors shift into other areas of the market that have been lagging. To highlight this, the table below highlights 24 companies in the Russell 3,000 with market caps of more than $1 billion that traded at a 52-week high within the last month but are currently down more than 20% from that high. The vast majority of these stocks are names that investors haven't been able to get enough of in 2020 but now appear to have had their fill.
Topping the list of these reversals is Eastman Kodak (KODK). On 7/29, the stock surged to a 52-week high of $60.00 after being awarded a questionable government contract to domestically produce components for prescription drugs. With the SEC and government agency that originally awarded the contract now looking into stock option awards at the company just before it was announced, the stock has pulled back sharply and is now down over 80% from its high less than two weeks ago.
While KODK is more of a unique example, other names on the list are primarily growth or health care stocks that have benefited from the COVID outbreak. However, now that signs suggest the summer wave in the south has crested, investors appear to be taking some profits. Shares of Vaxart (VXRT) hit a high of $17.49 on July 14th but have since lost nearly half of their value and trade back in the single-digits. Additionally, Bloom Energy (BE), 1Life Healthcare (ONEM), and Bioxcel Therapeutics (BTAI) have all lost more than a third of their value.
In terms of market cap, most of the names listed are on the small side, but Tesla (TSLA) is a notable exception as it is now just over 20% below its 52-week high on 7/13. Other relatively large companies on the list include Moderna (MRNA), Citrix Systems (CTXS), Teladoc (TDOC), and Livongo (LVGO). TDOC and LVGO both hit all-time highs last week but after announcing a mostly stock merger last Wednesday, both have lost nearly a quarter of their value.
While all of the stocks listed below have seen sharp pullbacks in the last several days, a little perspective is in order. Of the 24 names listed, the average YTD change even after the declines has been a gain of 219.7% (median: +94.6%). Only two of the stocks shown (New Relic- NEWR and Sonos- SONO) are down YTD, and half of them have at least doubled and in many cases much more.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending August 14th, 2020

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())
(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED!)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 8.16.20

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())
(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED!)
Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-
  • $WMT
  • $NVDA
  • $BABA
  • $JD
  • $HD
  • $LOW
  • $TGT
  • $SE
  • $NIU
  • $BJ
  • $AAP
  • $DLPN
  • $TJX
  • $ADI
  • $DE
  • $FL
  • $KSS
  • $DQ
  • $PDD
  • $GDS
  • $ECC
  • $BEST
  • $CTK
  • $EL
  • $VIPS
  • $SNPS
  • $A
  • $ROST
  • $QIWI
  • $LB
  • $LX
  • $AMCR
  • $CMCM
  • $LZB
  • $OPRA
  • $KEYS
  • $CREE
  • $GAN
  • $BZUN
  • $JKHY
  • $FN
  • $MLCO
  • $KC
  • $FUV
  • $SQM
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 8.17.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Monday 8.17.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 8.18.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 8.18.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 8.19.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 8.19.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 8.20.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 8.20.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 8.21.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 8.21.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE)

Walmart Inc. $132.60

Walmart Inc. (WMT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, August 18, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.20 per share on revenue of $134.28 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.29 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 81% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 5.51% with revenue increasing by 2.99%. Short interest has decreased by 12.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 0.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 9.9% above its 200 day moving average of $120.64. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, August 11, 2020 there was some notable buying of 12,381 contracts of the $135.00 put expiring on Friday, August 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.3% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

NVIDIA Corp. $462.56

NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:20 PM ET on Wednesday, August 19, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.95 per share on revenue of $3.65 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.01 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 84% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $1.83 to $2.06 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 65.25% with revenue increasing by 41.53%. The stock has drifted higher by 31.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 57.7% above its 200 day moving average of $293.24. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 14, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,787 contracts of the $460.00 call expiring on Friday, August 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 7.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. $253.97

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:10 AM ET on Thursday, August 20, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.99 per share on revenue of $21.13 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.11 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 83% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 8.74% with revenue increasing by 26.22%. Short interest has increased by 30.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 25.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 20.0% above its 200 day moving average of $211.59. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 7, 2020 there was some notable buying of 12,935 contracts of the $300.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.1% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

JD.com, Inc. $62.06

JD.com, Inc. (JD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 5:50 AM ET on Monday, August 17, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.38 per share on revenue of $26.98 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.46 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 52.00% with revenue increasing by 23.25%. Short interest has increased by 16.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 24.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 36.9% above its 200 day moving average of $45.34. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 14, 2020 there was some notable buying of 12,799 contracts of the $62.00 call expiring on Friday, August 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 8.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.4% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Home Depot, Inc. $280.55

Home Depot, Inc. (HD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:00 AM ET on Tuesday, August 18, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $3.71 per share on revenue of $31.67 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $3.75 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 17.03% with revenue increasing by 2.69%. Short interest has decreased by 39.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 16.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 22.4% above its 200 day moving average of $229.20. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 14, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,323 contracts of the $300.00 call expiring on Friday, August 28, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.5% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Lowe's Companies, Inc. $154.34

Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:00 AM ET on Wednesday, August 19, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.93 per share on revenue of $21.29 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.97 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 36.28% with revenue increasing by 1.42%. Short interest has decreased by 19.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 25.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 31.2% above its 200 day moving average of $117.67. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, August 7, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,994 contracts of the $170.00 call expiring on Friday, August 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.8% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Target Corp. $136.53

Target Corp. (TGT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Wednesday, August 19, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.56 per share on revenue of $19.30 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.64 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 75% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 14.29% with revenue increasing by 4.77%. Short interest has decreased by 36.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 10.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 18.0% above its 200 day moving average of $115.73. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, August 10, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,479 contracts of the $135.00 call expiring on Friday, September 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.7% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Sea Limited $126.50

Sea Limited (SE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Tuesday, August 18, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.47 per share on revenue of $1.03 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.36) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 34.29% with revenue increasing by 136.16%. Short interest has decreased by 8.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 91.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 98.1% above its 200 day moving average of $63.87. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, August 4, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,000 contracts of the $110.00 put expiring on Friday, January 15, 2021. Option traders are pricing in a 12.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 16.7% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Niu Technologies $20.82

Niu Technologies (NIU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 3:00 AM ET on Monday, August 17, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.07 per share on revenue of $88.07 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.11 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 57% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 30.00% with revenue increasing by 13.97%. Short interest has increased by 18.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 129.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 90.3% above its 200 day moving average of $10.94. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 3.7% move on earnings in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. $41.48

BJ's Wholesale Club, Inc. (BJ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:45 AM ET on Thursday, August 20, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.57 per share on revenue of $3.64 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.60 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 73% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 46.15% with revenue increasing by 8.79%. Short interest has decreased by 3.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 33.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 46.7% above its 200 day moving average of $28.27. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, August 12, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,119 contracts of the $50.00 call expiring on Friday, September 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 12.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 10.0% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead StockMarket.
submitted by bigbear0083 to StockMarket [link] [comments]

2019 Wiki Project - UCF

UCFUniversity of Central FloridaUCF
AmericanAmerican Athletic ConferenceAmerican
Year Founded: 1963
Program History:
  • 1979–1981 (Division III Independent)
  • 1982–1989 (Division II Independent)
  • 1990–1995 (Division I-AA Independent)
  • 1996–2001 (Division I-A Independent)
  • 2002–2004 (Mid American Conference)
  • 2005–2012 (Conference USA)
  • 2013–present (American Athletic Conference)
Location: Orlando, FL
Total Attendance: 68,571 (Fall 2018)
Nickname: Knights
Mascot: Knightro
Live Mascots: Pegasus and the UCF Knight, and Knugget
Stadium: Spectrum Stadium Outside, Field
Stadium Capacity: 44,206
Conference Champions: 6 — 2007 (C-USA), 2010 (C-USA), 2013 (American), 2014 (American), 2017 (American), and 2018 (American)
Number of Bowl Games: 10 (4–6)
National Titles: 1 (2017)

2019 Preview

There is a lot of positivity in Orlando going into the Knights’ 2019 season. Many of UCF’s producers on offense in 2018 are returning, including the three-man RB core of Otis Anderson, Greg McCrae, and Adrian Killins Jr, and top WRs Gabriel Davis and Tre Nixon. They also return all-AAC first team players OT Jake Brown, G Jordan Johnson, and C Cole Schneider. On defense, all-AAC first-teamers LB Nate Evans, CB Nevelle Clarke, and S Richie Grant, as well as DL Brendon Hayes and CB Brandon Moore are returning.
However, there were also a lot of key losses, none more devastating than losing team leader QB McKenzie Milton for the season due to a major injury he suffered at the end of last season. Other key players leaving are TE Michael Colubiale, DL Titus Davis, DT Trysten Hill, LB Pat Jasinski, OT Wyatt Miller, WR Dredrick Snelson, and K Matthew Wright,
While not a season-ending injury, UCF’s woes at QB got worse when Darriel Mack Jr., Milton’s backup last season and potential starting QB this season, broke his ankle during a non-football activity in early July and is expected to miss at least some time in the regular season. Luckily, former Notre Dame QB Brandon Wimbush transferred to UCF in January, which lessens the loss of Mack a bit.

Schedule

Date Location Opponent
8/31 Orlando, FL Florida A&M
9/7 Boca Raton, FL FAU
9/14 Orlando, FL Stanford
9/21 Pittsburgh, PA Pittsburgh
9/28 Orlando, FL Connecticut
10/4 Cincinnati, OH Cincinnati
10/19 Orlando, FL ECU (Homecoming)
10/26 Philadelphia, PA Temple
11/2 Orlando, FL Houston (Space Game)
11/8 Tulsa, OK Tulsa
11/23 New Orleans, LA Tulane
11/29 Orlando, FL USF (War on I-4)
## 2019 Gameday Experience
Welcome to the open-ended interview for the 2019 Summer Wiki Project! This year we're going to talk about Gameday experience, and anyone is welcome to answer these questions in the comments.
  1. What is the best place to eat at during game day?
  2. What is the best place to drink at during game day?
  3. Where is the best place to take a photo on campus/around the stadium?
  4. What landmark(s) do people need to visit when seeing your school?
  5. What traditions are of utmost importance during game day?
  6. If someone were to visit your campus during one rivalry game, what game should it be and why does it make your team's atmosphere amplified?
  7. What random trivia fact do most people not know about your school?
  8. Where are the best places to park around your team's stadium on gameday?
  9. What chants or cheers should visiting fans be familiar with at your school?
  10. How long is the daily gameday experience at your school? Are there major events or experiences before/afterward to keep in mind?

2018 Season

Record: 12-1 (8-0 American)
Coach: Josh Heupel (1st season)
Date Location Opponent Result Record
8/30 East Hartford, CT Connecticut W 56-17 1–0 (1–0)
9/8 Orlando, FL South Carolina State W 38–0 2-0 (1–0)
9/21 Orlando, FL FAU W 56-36 3–0 (1–0)
9/29 Orlando, FL Pittsburgh W 45–14 4–0 (1–0)
10/6 Orlando, FL SMU W 48–20 5–0 (2–0)
10/13 Memphis, TN Memphis W 31-30 6–0 (3–0)
10/20 Greenville, NC ECU W 37–10 7–0 (4–0)
11/1 Orlando, FL Temple W 52–40 8–0 (5–0)
11/10 Orlando, FL Navy W 35–24 9–0 (6–0)
11/17 Orlando, FL Cincinnati W 38–13 10–0 (7–0)
11/23 Tampa, FL USF W 38–10 11-0 (8-0)
aac AAC Conference Championship Game aac
Date Location Opponent Result Record
12/1 Orlando, FL memphis W 56-41 12-0 (9-0)
FiestaPlayStation Fiesta BowlFiesta
Date Location Opponent Result Record
1/1 Glendale, AZ LSU L 40-32 12–1 (9–0)

Season Introduction

With head coach Scott Frost departing the Knights’ for Nebraska after two seasons as head coach, Missouri offensive coordinator and former Heisman finalist Josh Heupel came in to take over both as head coach and offensive coordinator. There was also a massive turnover in the coaching department as a whole as the majority of UCF’s coaches in 2017 left for Nebraska along with Frost. Perhaps the most notable name joining the coaching staff outside of Heupel was former Florida defensive coordinator Randy Shannon, who joined the Knights in the same position.
UCF also lost many key contributors from 2017, including TE Jordan Akins, LB Shaquem Griffin, CB/KR Mike Hughes, and WR Tre’Quan Smith.
Despite these players leaving, there was still plenty of talent coming back for 2018. The team was led by the team’s ­de facto captain junior QB McKenzie Milton, who continued to post massive numbers en route to a sixth-place finish in Heisman voting, tying Daunte Culpepper’s 1998 season for the highest Heisman finish in program history.
While the Knights weren’t unable to achieve another perfect season, this was still one of the program’s best seasons. UCF had another perfect regular season and win in the conference championship game, extending their win streak to 25. UCF won most of its games in convincing fashion, with eight being by 20+ points and a further two by double digits. The Knights also made history as they became the 27th top-level (FBS or its equivalent) college football team to have a winning streak of at least 25 games, tied for the 22nd-longest in FBS history. The streak was also the longest active winning streak at all NCAA levels at one point. They also have an ongoing streak of 26 games where they have scored 30+ points, the longest such streak by a top-level team in the AP era (1936–present). Coincidentally, the previous record holder was South Florida, UCF’s major rival, and the Knights tied them with their victory over them in the War on I-4.

Early Season

The Knights picked up right where they left off in 2017 left off and continued their 13-game winning streak from 2017 by winning their first two games against UConn and South Carolina State. The season hit a snag during Week 3 as their game against North Carolina was canceled due to Hurricane Florence. The cancelation marked the third-straight season that UCF’s schedule was affected by hurricanes: Hurricane Matthew in 2016 led to rescheduling their game against Tulane, Hurricane Irma in 2017 led to the cancelation of games against Georgia Tech and Maine and rescheduling the game in place of the game against Maine.
After the “bye week,” UCF continued its winning streak and won the next five games — FAU, Pitt, SMU, Memphis, and ECU — before their scheduled bye week.

Week 6 at Memphis

The game at Memphis was the Knights’ first and only major scare in the regular season. They trailed for most of the game as Memphis put up 30 in the first half to UCF’s 17. UCF held Memphis scoreless in the second half and scored touchdowns in the 3rd and 4th quarters to seal the win, the go-ahead score with 12:14 left in the game. A defining moment in the season was the touchdown in the 3rd quarter. Facing a 4th and 1 at their own 29, the Knights ran a sneak play that caught Memphis off guard and led to a 71-yard touchdown by RB Taj McGowan. Despite Memphis running a fairly effective two-minute drill that reached UCF’s 31 yard line, a last-second tackle in bounds short of the line to gain bled the rest of the clock and secured the 31–30 victory.
After the bye week, UCF continued to win in convincing fashion against Temple, Navy, Cincinnati, and the War on I-4 rivalry game with South Florida.

Week 10 vs. Cincinnati — College GameDay

The game against Cincinnati was historic for UCF as College GameDay made its first appearance at UCF, and it lived up to the hype. It was the highest-attended program in the show’s 25-year history of attending games outside of a studio with over 20,000 people attending, and marked the 12th appearance of the /CFB flag at GameDay. The guest picker, much to Knight fans’ disappointment, was Maury Povich, even though former UCF players were available and were amenable to doing it.
There were two iconic moments from the show, both coming from Lee Corso. The first was him cursing, once again, on live TV. During a discussion about how UCF was perceived for claiming a national championship in 2017, Corso said “Let me tell you something. These people don’t give a shit,” drawing a massive roar of cheers and applause from the crowd. The second moment was when he did his most elaborate helmet pick yet by dressing up in a full Knightro costume.
The show was also very special for Corso. He lives in Lake Mary, a suburb of Orlando less than 20 miles northeast of the city, and he considers himself to be a fan UCF for that reason. It also gave his family the opportunity to attend the show.
Quick editorial from the writer: I was at GameDay and happened to be standing next to the podium where Corso came out as Knightro. After the cameras stopped rolling, he took off the Knighto head and a couple of young children (I assume they’re his grandchildren) came onto the podium. He sat with them for a while and, if I recall correctly, gave them hugs. It was a really touching moment.

Week 11 at USD— the War on I-4

The War on I-4 against South Florida began like any other, with trash talking, heightened emotions, and a couple of horns down from UCF players and fans (South Florida, like Texas, uses horns up as a gesture). However, the game quickly became secondary on a lot of people’s minds when Milton suffered an injury described as “horrific.” During a scramble to the right sideline early in the 2nd quarter, Milton was tackled in the leg by South Florida DB Mazzi Wilkins. The hit resulted in a “dislocated right knee, severed popliteal artery and two torn ligaments” as listed by Sports Illustrated. According to the SI article, the injury Milton had has a 50 percent of requiring an amputation of the lower leg and, if not treated soon enough, would result in death.
However, luck was on his side. The game was held at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa which is located 6 miles from Tampa General Hospital and its Level 1 trauma center, the designation for hospitals that are the best equipped to deal with major and traumatic injuries. Milton arrived at TGH fairly quickly after leaving the stadium and had emergency surgery to stabilize his leg. The stadium’s proximity to a Level 1 trauma center is universally cited as a major reason that Milton didn’t suffer more severe consequences from the injury. Although Milton was spared from
A game still had to be played, however, and backup QB RS freshman Darriel Mack Jr. came in to replace Milton for the remainder of the game. It was his first game playing in a “starting QB” role as opposed to stepping in late in games where the outcome was more or less decided.
UCF rallied around Milton and started the 10HANA campaign, a reference to Milton’s jersey number 10 and his Hawaiian heritage as “ohana” means family in Hawaiian. T-shirts and other apparel was made with the phrase and black and gold leis were worn en masse to the AAC Conference Championship against Memphis, the team’s first game after Milton’s injury.

AAC Conference Championship Game vs. Memphis

Memphis gave UCF yet another scare in the CCG. Just like in their regular season matchup, Memphis got out to a big lead during the first half as they took a 38–21 lead into the half behind an incredible performance by RB Darrell Henderson. However, just like in the regular season matchup, UCF’s defense stepped up in a major way as Memphis was held to just a field goal in the 3rd quarter. The offense also came to life as they scored 35 points on five touchdowns in their next five possessions. With the win, the Knights extended their winning streak to 25 games.

2019 Fiesta Bowl vs. LSU

With their victory in the CCG, UCF was once again the highest-ranked conference champion in the G5 and earned the automatic bid into a NY6 bowl. In this case, it was the Fiesta Bowl against LSU, the site of their first appearance in BCS/NY6 bowl, a win against Baylor in 2014. While the game started off as a fairly close affair with the Knights ending the 1st quarter with a 14–10 lead over the Tigers. However, UCF was very undisciplined and took several uncharacteristic penalties, including an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty in the 2nd quarter after they stopped LSU on 3rd and 6. The penalty gave the Tigers a new set of downs that ultimately resulted in a touchdown that brought the score to 14–10.
LSU took the lead on a touchdown with 12:59 remaining in the 2nd quarter touchdown that brought the score to 17–14, a lead they would maintain for the rest of the game. Although UCF came within three points to end the half, the lead was often two possessions or more. UCF did give LSU a scare toward the end, though. After the Knights trimmed the lead to eight on a touchdown and two-point conversion with 2:24 left in the 4th quarter, they were inches away from a successful onside kick as it was not fielded cleanly by LSU at first. The Tigers were able to burn the rest of the clock from there, sealing the win and ending the Knights’ winning streak.

Rivals

USF South Florida — The War on I-4
Series Record: 4–6
This is UCF's major rivalry. The War on I-4 has existed in other sports since the 1970s, but the rivalry began in earnest when the football teams first met in 2005. The rivalry has had two chapters: 2005–2008 as non-conference games, and 2013–present as conference games in the AAC, and the outcomes in the rivalry have differed vastly in each chapter. From 2005–2008, USF won all four games. From 2013–present, UCF is 4–2. In 2016, the rivalry was officially sanctioned and led to the creation of a points-based competition involving all sports. Although the schools play each other in 14 sports, football is still the biggest game and the most coveted victory of any sport. A 150-pound trophy that goes to the winner of the annual football game.
Despite the relatively young age of the rivalry, the Knights and Bulls have had a few iconic matchups. The 2008 game, the first War on I-4 game held at Bright House Networks Stadium, had many iconic moments and went into OT, but #17 South Florida ultimately prevailed 31–24. T
here was a lot riding on the 2013 matchup for UCF, which also happened to be the 400th game in program history. They entered the game 9–1 and in the driver's seat for the conference's AQ bid into a BCS bowl. A win in this game would give UCF, at minimum, a share of the conference title and essentially lock up the bid. It was a close matchup with the outcome not truly decided until 1:20 remained in the 4th when South Florida QB Mike White was picked off by CB Jordan Ozerities, enabling UCF to kneel out the remainder of the clock to seal the team's first win in the War.
The 2017 game marked the first time a "winner takes all" scenario occurred between the two teams as the game would decide the East Division champion, and the AAC champion had a near-guaranteed spot in the Group of 5 conferences' New Year's Six bowl game spot. It was a real back-and-forth affair as UCF took a 21–3 lead after the 1st, but South Florida scored 17 unanswered points to make the game 21–20 at halftime. The teams would proceed to more or less trade scores for the remainder of the game. The game's most iconic moment came with just over a minute left in the game. South Florida had just tied the game following a TD and a successful two-point conversion, but CB Mike Hughes took the ensuing kickoff and returned it 95 yards for the go-ahead TD. With 39 seconds remaining and South Florida pushing its way upfield, S Richie Grant stripped the ball from TE Mitchell Wilcox, and the ball was recovered by LB Shaquem Griffin. UCF would kneel out the rest of the clock and give the Knights a 49–42 victory.
ECU East Carolina
Series Record: 7–10
UCF and ECU first played in 1991 when UCF was a Division I-AA Independent team, with annual games beginning in 2005 with when UCF joined C–USA. Similar to South Florida, this rivalry is really a tale of different conferences resulting in vastly different outcomes. ECU was 4–0 during the pre-C–USA games, 5–3 in C–USA, and now 1–4 in the AAC.
There are some other potential rivalry games such as Houston, Memphis, and Tulsa, but those are played less regularly than the ECU and South Florida. Some former rivalries like Marshall are on indefinite hiatus because the teams are in different conferences.

The Greats

Games

  • 2000 at Alabama — October 28, 2000, UCF 40 – Alabama 38
  • 2010 Liberty Bowl – December 31, 2010, UCF 10 – Georgia 6
  • 2013 War on I-4 – November 29, 2013, UCF 23 – South Florida 20
  • 2014 Fiesta Bowl – January 1, 2014, UCF 52 – Baylor 42
  • 2017 War on I-4 – November 24, 2017, UCF 49 – South Florida 42
  • 2017 AAC Conference Championship Game – December 2, 2017, UCF 62 – Memphis 55 (2OT)
  • 2018 Peach Bowl — January 1, 2018, UCF 34 – Auburn 27

Plays

Players

Thanks to metssuck, orangeLILpumpkin, and shiggidyschwag for their suggestions that really helped make the post better.
The top contributions from this thread may be awarded with the vaunted /CFB Contributor Award flair! Quality material from this thread will be compiled by our /CFB Wiki Editors and will be accessible to view.
submitted by DampFrijoles to CFB [link] [comments]

8.13 AP and AD Tryndamere Comparison: Now with Numbers!

THE TL;DR

AD Build Pros AD Builds Cons AP Build Pros AP Build Cons
Strong Early Levels [1-4] + Consistent Kill Pressure in Laning Phase Delayed Mid Game Item Spike [crappy IE build path] Strong Early Levels [1-4] and Very Strong Mid Game Inconsistent Kill Pressure in Laning Phase [Strong 1-4, but thereafter mainly looks to farm til level 9]
Early Sustain from Ravenous Hunter Expensive Build Path Hyper Mobile + Decent Spin Damage/Waveclear once E is maxed and CDR purchased [less prone to being kited] Slightly Delayed on Waveclear + Sustain comparative to AD Tryn
Can purchase Waveclear early [Tiamat] Does not typically purchase CDR until end of build Gets CDR early and cheaply [so can be more choosy with who/where/when to fight] Lacks Crit items and looks mainly to use Fury for heals
Insane AA DPS once items get rolling [100% Crit] Inflexible Final Build [hard to replace final item with something else] Flexible with Final Item choice [can go Tabis/Zhonyas vs AD burst or Banshess/Merc vs heavy CC] Average AA power compared to AD Tryn
Shreds Tanks Very prone to being kited/CC'd/Bursted AP Scaling Heal [~50% of Health bar once Deathcap is purchased] May have difficulty vs Super Tanks late game [e.g. Mundo]
Baron Solo Potential ~4 items Cannot Reliably Duel certain opponents late game [e.g. Fizz, Zed, Kennen] Respectable Mixed Damage [wrecks turrets and inhibs] and can Reliably Duel opponents typically tricky for AD Tryn [e.g. Fizz, Zed, Kennen] Cannot solo Baron nearly as well as AD Tryn
Both Tryns like Farming, Splitpushing, Applying Map Pressure, Skirmishing [especially vs Immobile Opponents] and Taking Objectives.
Both Tryns dislike Grouping for Teamfights, Hard CC, Ranged Lane Bullies, Kiting and being put behind Early Game.

INTRO

So there’s been lots of talk recently about the comparison between AP and AD Tryndamere [on Patch 8.13], in particular the comparison between Foggedftw’s two builds. Being a fan of theorycrafting [Long time NWN 1 player, love me some stats], a fan of science, and also now being on uni break [free time feels strange], I figured that I’d run a little experiment and contribute some numbers to this interesting discussion.
I basically set up 2 custom games, 1 for each of Fogged’s AD and AP Tryn builds, and recorded some stat values at various points along each build path. I selected levels 1, 6, 9, 11, 13, 16, 18 and ‘Full Build’ as rough points of comparison, that I felt corresponded with certain skill and item timings [emphasis on ROUGH, as all games are different, even Fogged on stream disagreed with these numbers haha].
The games were set up with Minions Disabled, CD Refresh active [to spam abilities for testing purposes], XP/Money given for testing purposes, and Invincible Turrets. Both builds started with their respective rune setups as well as Doran’s Blade + 1 Heal Pot, and then progressed down their respective build paths. The total build cost [not counting the 500gp starting items] is tallied as new items are purchased.
Given the stat variance that comes with Tryn's Bloodlust ability and Rageblade, a lot of stats are presented as a Range. Minimum values are recorded from the Fountain at Full Health, and Maximum Values are recorded whilst in combat with an invincible Mid Lane Turret and Ult being spammed [to simulate being on Minimum Health + Max Fury + Rageblade Active]. The On Hit Damage for each build represents the total Physical, Magical, and Sheen Item Proc Damage added from item On Hit Effects [NOT AD] such as Nashor's Tooth/Sheen/Lich Bane/ Rageblade/Trinity Force.
I technically didn’t ‘kill’ anything, and so extra stats from Alacrity aren’t taken into account. Conquerer also does not appear to increase AD from doing what I did [i.e. wailing on the invincible turret going AAARRRGGGHH a lot], so it is not counted toward AD values.
Not all stats are mentioned [e.g. Magic Resistance isn’t], only the ones for which I thought significantly differed between each build. Health is included to give some context as to the effectiveness of self-healing.
One final thing: I should note that I am personally not an experienced League or Tryndamere player. I only play normals, maybe a few times a week, and so my ‘thoughts’ are mainly drawn from what I see from the stats [and the odd Fogged stream]. I am sure that experienced Tryn players know more than I do; stats alone cannot compare to an experienced player’s intuition and game knowledge of what works and what doesn’t. I’m happy to revise and edit things if people give constructive feedback.
ALSO! Fogged took the time to have a read through this and comment on stream [which I totally wasn't expecting, and I hope didnt give him too much info overload heh]. Starting from about 3:30:00 in the video below [my twitch handle is 'twitchgivesmeseizures'].
https://www.twitch.tv/videos/283939538
So, without further ado: NUMBERS!

Level 1, Starting Items

Stats AD Tryn AP Tryn
Runes Conquerer, Triumph, Alacrity, Last Stand, Sudden Impact, Ravenous Hunter Conquerer, Triumph, Alacrity, Last Stand, Magical Boots, Cosmic Insight
Item Build Path Dorans > Tiamat > Zerkers > Phantom Dancer > Infinity Edge > Rageblade > Rav Hydra > Trin Force > CD Boots Dorans > Codex > Nashors > Sheen > CD Boots > Lichbane > Rageblade > Deathcap > Hex Gunblade
Items Doran’s Blade Doran’s Blade
Skills E1 E1
AD 83 77
AS 0.75 0.81
AP 0 0
On Hit Damage [Physical/Magic/Sheen Item] 0 0
Crit % 0-35 0-35
CDR [%, Q, W, E, R, Flash, Ignite] 0, ” ,” ,13 ,”, 300, 210 5 ,” ,” ,12.35 ,” , 285, 199.5
Spin Damage 98 90
Movement Speed 345 345
Health 706 706
Healing Lifesteal of 3% + 2.5% Rav Hunter [E, Conq Damage] 3% Lifesteal
Extras Sudden Impact [10 Lethality for 5 sec after Spin], Rav Hunter 2.5% from Abilites 5% All-Round CDR, can't buy boots

L1 Thoughts:

As expected, both builds have pretty much the same stats. AD Tryn is ‘marginally’ stronger than AP Tryn, with 6 extra AD and Sudden Impact, though RNG crits are still the #1 thing that will determine success in early fights.
Next up is the projected level 6 strength, assuming that no items have been purchased. Again: it is entirely possible that items have been purchased within your game by this point. These can of course be added onto the following stats for your personal comparison.
Given that Bloodlust increases depending on missing Health, some values are now given as a Range between min and max value [for more info see the intro].

Level 6, Starting Items

Stats AD Tryn AP Tryn
Items Doran’s Blade Doran’s Blade
Skills Q3, W1, E1, R1 Q2, W1, E2, R1
AD 113-137 102-121
AS 0.83 0.89
AP 0 0
On Hit Damage [Phys/Mag/Sheen Item] 0 0
Crit % 0-35 0-35
CDR [%, Q, W, E, R, Fl, Ig] 0, 12, 14, 13, 110, 300, 210 5, 11.4, 13.3, 10.93, 104.5, 285, 199.5
Spin Damage 118-149 133-159
Movement Speed 345 345
Health 1093 1093
Healing 3% LS + 2.5-15% Rav Hunter [E, Conq], 50-190 Bloodlust Heal 3% LS, 40-135 Bloodlust Heal
Extras No moreso than level 1 Probably still can’t buy boots

L6 Thoughts:

At this point, AD Tryn is definitely the stronger build, with higher AD and Healing. AD Tryn should be looking to fight and snowball lane, while AP Tryn should be mostly looking to farm.

Level 9, Two Tier 2 Items.

Stats AD Tryn AP Tryn
Items DB, Tiamat [1200], Zerks [1100], 2300 GP Total DB, Codex [900], Stinger [1100], Boots [Free], 2000 GP Total
Skills Q5, W1, E2, R1 Q2, W1, E5, R1
AD 158-192 112-131
AS 1.12 1.18
AP 0 35
On Hit Damage [Phys/Mag/Sheen Item] 0 0
Crit % 0-35 0-35
CDR [%, Q, W, E, R, Fl, Ig] 0, 12, 14, 11.5, 110, 300, 210 5, 9, 10.5, 5.25, 82.5, 285, 199.5
Spin Damage 193-238 258-284
Movement Speed 390 380
Health 1367 1367
Healing 3% LS + 2.5-15% from RH [E, Conq, Tiamat AoE], 70-300 BL Heal 3% LS, 50-185 BL Heal
Extras Tiamat AoE Passive and Active AA Reset Free Boots [yay!]

L9 Thoughts:

AD Tryn is the still the superior duelist on paper [at least against immobile champions], with higher AD and healing. However, AP Tryn is starting to get CDR, which is very impactful and cheaper to buy than it is for AD Tryn. Q/W/R have slightly smaller CD’s, and AP's E is half the CD of AD’s E [11.5 sec vs 5.25 sec]. Which means AP Tryn starts to become super mobile, has more control of who/where to engage and not engage, and can duel opponents that would normally kite him [e.g. Phase Rush Kennen, thanks for the tip Fogged!].
AP Tryn’s Spin Damage is slightly higher than AD Tryn’s, though the Spin Damage difference between the two builds actually isn’t that large until AP Tryn gets Deathcap. The main difference at this level is that the lower CD on AP Tryn’s E means that it can be used as a source of consistent damage and waveclear [whilst AD Tryn has to rely on Tiamat for waveclear].
AD Tryn’s build is also starting to get more expensive than AP Tryn’s build. At this point this probably isn’t noticeable as AD Tryn should have some kills and thus probably more gold collected than AP Tryn. The item cost discrepancy between AD and AP Tryn is most accentuated around the mid-game [~ 2 completed items], though this evens out toward the late game. Both Full Builds turn out to be roughly the same cost.
Interesting to note: A fully ‘warmed up’ turret deals ~270 damage per shot. So AD Tryn’s BL Heal with full Fury can help him survive 1 turret shot if Ult expires while diving. Whereas AP Tryn’s BL can’t. Yet…

Level 11, First Completed Item.

Stats AD Tryn AP Tryn
Items DB, Tiamat , Zerkers, Phantom Dancer [2800] + 2300 = 5100 GP Total DB, Nashors [1000], CD Boots [600], Sheen [1050] + 2000 = 4650GP Total
Skills Q5, W1, E4, R1 Q4, W1, E5, R1
AD 165-199 129-159
AS 1.46 1.32
AP 0 80
On Hit Damage [Phys/Mag/Sheen Item] 0 [0/27/101]
Crit % 30-65 0-35
CDR [%, Q, W, E, R, Fl, Ig] 0, 12, 14, 8.5, 110, 300, 210 45, 6.6, 7.7, 3.85, 60.5, 255, 178.5
Spin Damage 253-298 306-355
Movement Speed 409-432 [PD Passive] 400
Health 1566 1566
Healing 3% LS + 2.5-15% from RH [E, Conq, Tiamat AoE], 70-300 BL Heal 3% LS, 84-269 BL Heal
Extras PD Passives: Extra MS near enemy champions and 12% Damage Reduction in 1v1’s Nashors On Hit, Sheen Procs, 15% Summoner CDR

L11 Thoughts:

AD Tryn gets a big dueling spike with Phantom Dancer. AD hasn’t changed much, but AS, MS and Crit have. E CD is now 8.5 seconds, which can be reduced by landing more crits. Should be looking to duel and splitpush, whilst being wary of being kited out and watching long CD’s [e.g. Ult].
AP Tryn now has 45% CDR, which means 6.6 sec on Q [which at Full Fury can help survive a Turret shot now], 7.7 on W [Chase-down potential increased], 3.85 sec spin [Wheeeee!], and 60.5 sec Ult [for practically double the clutch escapes and turret dives compared to 110 sec Ult]. 15% Summoner CDR also means Flash’s CD is 45 seconds less than everyone else’s [255 vs 300 sec].
AP Tryn also now has On Hit Damage [Nashors + Sheen Item] which scales with AP. Sheen item can potentially be proc’d every 2-3 AA’s by alternating between E and Q [though it might be better to save Q strategically for healing].
AP Tryn’s Damage to Structures begins to exceed AD Tryn’s Damage to Structures. Go smash structures.

Level 13, Second Completed Item.

Stats AD Tryn AP Tryn
Items DB, Tia , Zerks, PD, Infinity Edge [3600] + 5100 = 8700 GP Total DB, Nash, CD Boots, Lich Bane [2150] + 4650 = 6800GP Total
Skills Q5, W2, E5, R1 Q5, W2, E5, R1
AD 254-288 143-177
AS 1.50 1.36
AP 0 160
On Hit Damage [Phys/Mag/Sheen Item] 0 [0/39/162]
Crit % 60-100 [It’s time to d-d-d-dddd duel] 0-35
CDR [%, Q, W, E, R, Fl, Ig] 0, 12, 14, 7, 110, 300, 210 45, 6.6, 7.7, 3.85, 60.5, 255, 178.5
Spin Damage 387-432 403-448
Movement Speed 409-432 425
Health 1779 1779
Healing 3% LS + 2.5-15% from RH [E, Conq, Tiamat AoE, IE True Damage], 70-300 BL Heal 3% LS, 118-538 BL Heal
Extras IE Passives of Double Crit Chance + 15% Crit Damage converted to True Damage Lich Bane Proc’s [Mixed Damage has officially arrived]

L13 Thoughts:

AP Tryn’s 2 item spike is almost 2,000 GP cheaper than AD Tryn’s. Significant Mixed Damage [~200 Magic Damage on Lich Bane Procs] and BL Healing [+500 at Full Fury] are now a thing, Mobility is off the charts [which means that opponents that normally kite Tryn like Gangplank become prime targets for AP Tryn], Ult is up once a minute, and all the AP synergies only get better from here.
That said, even if AD Tryn isn't quite as mobile [7 sec Spin], he now packs a heck of an Auto Attack [Guaranteed 500+ Damage Crits, lots of which is True Damage] and can definitely melt faces. RH healing should almost feel like having a Vamp Scepter when clearing minion waves by this point, especially if AD Tryn has picked up bounties on all 5 enemy players.
One thing to note with AP Tryn: Crits are most likely not contributing much total damage to champions, so Q should start being used to consume Fury mid-fight for happy-fun-time surprise heals [Tip: Use Q a couple of seconds prior to Ult, and then after Ult, for 2 Full Fury Heals in one fight!].

Level 16, Rageblade [Math is fun].

Stats AD Tryn AP Tryn
Items DB, Tia , Zerks, PD, IE, RB [3300] + 8700 = 12000 GP Total DB, Nash, CD Boots, LB, RB [3300] + 6800 = 10100 GP Total
Skills Q5, W5, E5, R1 Q5, W5, E5, R1
AD 292-357 181-229
AS 1.74-2.06 [RB Math] 1.59-1.92
AP 25-29 [RB Math] 185-213 [Yes, this is RB Math]
On Hit Damage [Phys/Mag/Sheen Item] [22/7/0]-[25/8/0] [RB Math] [11/66/184]-[16/73/198]
Crit % 60-100 0-35
CDR [%, Q, W, E, R, Fl, Ig] 0, 12, 14, 7, 110, 300, 210 45, 6.6, 7.7, 3.85, 60.5, 255, 178.5
Spin Damage 445-533 [RB Math] 460-551
Movement Speed 409-432 425
Health 2125 [Thankfully not RB Math] 2125
Healing 3% LS + 2.5-15% from RH [E, Conq, Tiamat AoE, IE True Damage, RB On-Hit Math], 78-340 BL Heal 3% LS, 118-538 BL Heal
Extras RB Math RB Math, now with AP scalings

L16 Thoughts:

I love Rageblade. And math.
AA power for both builds gets a big increase, most notably for AP Tryn. AD Tryn gets a pretty negligible amount of On Hit Damage, whereas AP Tryn’s On Hit Magic Damage effectively goes up by 50% with Guinsoo’s Rage active [from ~ 200 to ~ 300 with LB]. Both builds of course get the lovely AS steroid.
One thing that I haven't tested for AP vs AD Tryn is Tank Shredding. It may well be that against a 3-4 item Hyper Tank at this stage of the game [e.g. Dr Mundo or Ornn], AP Tryn simply lacks the damage to deal with them in a short space of time, if at all. This shouldn't be a problem for AD Tryn though, whose ~700 crit AA's and spins, both dealing lots of True Damage, should make short work of tanks.
For the next point of comparison: Doran’s Blade is treated as ‘sold’ for both builds, as it is assumed that it will be sold to make room for Wards/Item Components. Again; it may be that your build has already sold DB by this point. This is just for comparison.

Level 18, Fourth Completed Item.

Stats AD Tryn AP Tryn
Items DB Sold [-180], Zerks, PD, IE, RB, Rav Hydra [2300] + 12000 = 14120 GP Total DB Sold [-180], Nash, CD Boots, LB, RB, Deathcap [3600] + 10100 = 13520 Total
Skills Q5, W5, E5, R3 Q5, W5, E5, R3
AD 348-417 182-228 [DB sold, -8 AD]
AS 1.78-2.11 1.64-1.97
AP 25-29 427-473 [Hello Deathcap]
On Hit Damage [Phys/Mag/Sheen Item] [27/7/0]-[35/8/0] [10/127/312]-[15/138/335]
Crit % 60-100 0-35
CDR [%, Q, W, E, R, Fl, Ig] 0, 12, 14, 7, 90, 300, 210 45, 6.6, 7.7, 3.85, 49.5, 255, 178.5
Spin Damage 506-604 692-798 [Yay Deathcap]
Movement Speed 409-432 425
Health 2292 [DB sold, -80 Health] 2292
Healing 12% LS + 2.5-15% from RH [E, Conq, Tiamat AoE, IE True Damage, RB On-Hit Math], 78-340 BL Heal No Lifesteal, but a juicy 198-1012 BL Heal
Extras Rav Hydra Active Auto [Same as Tiamat, but better] Bring on the AP scalings!

L18 Thoughts:

The build paths for each build start to equalize a bit. Total cost is now about the same, mainly because AD Tryn was already part-way to completing Hydra.
Rav Hydra grants decent healing for AD Tryn in extended fights, and he can top up his health significantly by clearing minions/jungle camps. He can basically 2 shot squishies now, should melt Tanks in a sidelane, and should also be able solo Baron. Which is nice for 1v9’ing.
AP Tryn also gets a nice powerspike, in a different way. On Hit Magic Damage gets a big boost [almost doubled from the previous item], and BL Heal at full Fury now restores about half of AP Tryn’s health, which he can potentially use twice in the same skirmish [~2 sec Before Ult and After Ult]. Ult is now on a ~50 sec CD. One spin pretty much clears a minion wave. Inhibs die in about 6 hits [LB procs = 500+ Magic Damage to structures]. He can ‘maybe’ solo Baron, but a lot slower than AD Tryn, so it’s probably better to do Baron with your team.

Full Build

Stats AD Tryn AP Tryn
Items Zerks Sold [-770], PD, IE, RB, R Hyd, Tri Force [3733], CD Boots [900] + 14120 = 17983 GP Total Nash, CD Boots, LB, RB, DC, Gunblade [3400] + 13520 = 16920 GP Total
Skills Q5, W5, E5, R3 Q5, W5, E5, R3
AD 373-448 222-274
AS 1.82-2.14 1.64-1.97
AP 25-29 539-597
On Hit Damage [Phys/Mag/Sheen Item] [29/7/264]-[37/8/264] [14/155/368]-[19/170/397]
Crit % 60-100 0-35
CDR [%, Q, W, E, R, Fl, Ig] 30, 8.4, 9.8, 4.9, 63, 270, 189 45, 6.6, 7.7, 3.85, 49.5, 255, 178.5
Spin Damage 538-640 856-982
Movement Speed 426-451 425
Health 2542 2292
Healing 12% LS + 2.5-15% from RH [E, Conq, Tiamat AoE, IE True Damage, RB On-Hit Math], 78-340 BL Heal 15% Lifesteal and Spell Vamp, and a quite silly 232-1239 BL Heal
Extras TF Procs [Phage, Sheen], 30% CDR [at last!], 10% Summoner CD Gunblade LS and Spell Vamp, Single Target Item Active [ ~400 Magic Damage + 40% Slow for 2 sec, 700 Range, 34 sec CD]

Full Build Thoughts:

It’s the ultra late game, so both Tryn’s are probably going to do the same thing: Splitpush, Smash Objectives, and E Flash on the backline. Like it or not, Tryndamere’s Hyper Carry ass is a focal point of the game for both teams.
AD Tryn does a truckload of damage with AA’s and can 1v1 just about anybody [4.9 sec CD Spin with 100% Crits means some very nice sticking power]. He can lifesteal back to full Health off of minions/camps, shred Tanks in a sidelane, and can definitely solo Baron. He is a little inflexible with what to get as a final item, but he can probably get away with trading Rav Hydra for Merc Scimitar if he has the money.
AP Tryn does a truckload of damage with E, loads of mixed damage [looking at ~550 extra On-Hit Magic Damage on LB procs], respectable damage with AA’s, and can most likely duel anybody. BL Heals will definitely tilt the enemy team if they don’t have Grievous Wounds, especially if you get two heals in one fight [2 x 1239 Health is literally more than Tryn’s Health bar]. Gunblade Vamp means AP Tryn can lifesteal off of minions/camps, and he can kinda sorta solo Baron slowly.
AP Tryn does have the advantage in being a bit more flexible with his final item [i.e. Gunblade with the above build] than AD Tryn. Zhonyas + Tabi vs heavy AD comps, or Banshees + Merc Treads vs heavy CC comps, are both viable options that help retain max CDR. He can also keep his CD boots and go for several other options like Merc Scimitar or Spellbinder to grant a little more utility. Something noted on stream by Fogged is that AP Tryn's item flexibility [e.g. switching to Banshees/Merc Treads] can help in the late game to duel Zhonya's users like Fizz, which is something that cannot be said for AD Tryn.

Conclusion

Aaaand that’s it! Hopefully this info sheds some light on the respective strengths/weaknesses of the current archetype AD and AP Tryndamere builds.
Looking at the numbers at the moment, AD Tryn beats out the AP Tryn in the early game, and is most likely a better 1v1 duelist over the course of the game [excluding against opponents that heavily kite him in the mid-game 1v1, such as Gangplank]. That said, AP Tryn does seem like the better build overall, at least on patch 8.13.
The mid-game spike AP Tryn receives is cheaper [and thus sooner] and arguably more powerful than the mid-game spike that AD Tryn receives. The combination of CDR on all abilities [Heal, Spin, Slow, Ult, Flash, Ignite] provide a lot more for Tryn than inflated AA damage numbers do. AP Tryn also scales well into the late game, with lots of on-hit magic damage for wrecking structures and a ton of healing. The only significant areas that I can see whereby AD Tryn seems preferrable to AP Tryn in the late game, is the ability to quickly solo Baron, and shredding Hyper Tanks.
Good luck in game, and don’t get CC chained. ☺
submitted by rodeoaddict to TryndamereMains [link] [comments]

Today in History 20/09














































































submitted by Pickup_your_nuts to ConservativeKiwi [link] [comments]

X4: Foundations E06 - Gas Miners and Guild Missions! AUTO RISK MANAGEMENT leonArdo - Automatic Trading Platform Bitcoin Live Trading  27 Aug 2020 Auto Buy Sell Signal ... 2019 Travel Lite Falcon F-Lite FL-14 / Referral Auto Group ...

*This loan application is provided by LB Auto Trading.Carsforsale.com does not provide financing. By clicking "SEND TEXT", I consent to be contacted by Carsforsale.com and the dealer selling this car at any telephone number I provide, including, without limitation, communications sent via text message to my cell phone or communications sent using an autodialer or prerecorded message. Find Cars listings for sale starting at $2995 in Orlando, FL. Shop LB Auto Trading to find great deals on Cars listings. Find used cars and new cars for sale at Autotrader. With millions of cars, finding your next new car or used car and the car reviews and information you're looking for is easy at Autotrader. LB Auto Trading, LLC Response 05/30/2019 Mr. O******* we never refuse to fix your vehicle, the first time the code that came was not for transmission, also what we did was paint the vehicle per ... Search listings from LB Auto Trading in Orlando, FL to find the right vehicle for you. We analyze millions of used cars daily.

[index] [2602] [7051] [5357] [2902] [1371] [1669] [5867] [5939] [98] [6501]

X4: Foundations E06 - Gas Miners and Guild Missions!

leonArdo has rebranded as margin! We now support 14 exchanges, 4 bots, social features like Reddit and Twitter, tons of indicators, an updated interface and more. Check out our free demo today ... Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube. Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube. Go Autotrading bot -https://Proteyfx.com I’ve been a member of proteyfx for only 26 days. But my life has already changed! Not only have I made my first $10K... Markus Heitkoetter presents SFO webinar. Also, be sure to read the article on the same topic (complete with a video). Find the article at: http://www.sfomag....

https://forex-arab.binaryoptionspinkpanther.info